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\r\n Chart of the Week – One Major Positive & One Almighty Risk to Watch Out For in 2024<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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by Tim Sharp, researched by Jack Williams   One of the first events past the post of 2024 is the upcoming election in Taiwan which could have huge knock on effects for markets, the Magnificent Seven in particular\u2026 With Taiwan heading to the polling booths on Saturday 13th January 2024, perhaps the main question for inhabitants of the small independent island is how they will choose to deal with China moving forward following heightened tensions between the democratic island and those whom have laid claim to the territory. Lai Ching-Te from the pro sovereignty party is currently the favourite amongst…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Hottinger Appoints New Chair<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Hottinger Group is delighted to announce the appointment of its new Chair, Sarah Deaves. Drawing upon her extensive background in the wealth management industry, Sarah brings a breadth of experience and a clear vision to Hottinger group. Currently MD of abrdn Financial Planning, Sarah previously served as CEO of Coutts and a wide range of other executive leadership roles across financial planning and wealth management. Sarah is well-positioned to steer our company towards continued excellence. Her strategic insights, coupled with her commitment to fostering collaboration and driving innovation, will undoubtedly increase our organization’s capabilities and market presence. Mark Robertson CEO…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week \u2013 The Widening Dispersion Between Big Tech and the Wider Tech Sector<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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by Tim Sharp, researched by Jack Williams   In the backdrop of this year’s notably narrow equity market performance, investors are meticulously scrutinising the latest earnings per share (EPS) estimates and revisions from analysts. This heightened vigilance stems from the increasing confluence of contradictory data, further exacerbating the intricacies of an already complex market backdrop. Even seasoned investors find themselves unsettled by these developments as underscored by the recent remarks of prominent investor and trader, Paul Tudor Jones. In a recent interview with CNBC, Jones said that the current geopolitical landscape presents an unprecedented and formidable challenge, characterizing it as…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: Transporters – Under Pressure<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: September 22, 2023   As the holiday season comes to a close and the out of office announcements begin to dissipate for the year, we dive into transportation as a sector, with particular attention to airlines and whether the recent stall in share prices is telling of greater problems further along their flight path. The US500 Transportation index has enjoyed a monstrous climb since the turn of the year, rising by over 15% from the start of January to its peak around the end of July. Since, performance has reversed, declining 10.7% to…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: The China Syndrome<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: August 25, 2023   Economic woes in China are proving to be worse than initially feared. As we entered the year, many investors were optimistic, expecting to see the economy boom as the country relaxed its Zero Covid lockdowns and rules. As disappointment shrouded the region\u2019s markets, China bulls became expectant, hoping dismal data would force the hands of government officials towards the stimulus lever, which on numerous occasions over the past couple of decades has resulted in an uplift in not just China GDP, but global growth as well. Figure 1 –…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: Keeping Up with The Corporations \u2013 A Disappointing Earnings Season for Beats and Misses<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: August 9, 2023 In the past, companies were often rewarded for meeting or exceeding analyst projections, and investors would respond positively to earnings reports. However, recent earnings periods have been far from the norm, characterized by exacerbated moves in both the up and downside as shifts in market themes and uncertain macro backdrops collide, leading to increased volatility. This is particularly evident in the current earnings season, where companies missing expectations or issuing lacklustre guidance are being heavily punished by the market. Earnings Reactions: The chart in Figure 1 illustrates the stark contrast…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week – Latin American Equities<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Primed for a New Bull Market After Breaking 15+Year Trendline? Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: July 28, 2023 Developed economies have recently surprised on the upside\u00a0following a long streak of losses causing Latin America to fall off the radar for many investors.\u00a0However, these markets may be at a pivotal point and could be headed for brighter days ahead. The MSCI Emerging Markets Latin America ETF chart above depicts a sustained fall in price since its peak in 2008, declining from over $5200. Each candlestick in the chart represents one month\u2019s worth of price action. The blue trendline illustrates…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: Convergence of Returns Amongst Cash, Bonds, and US Equities<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: June 27, 2023 In a notable turn of events, the recent market rally in the United States has led to the erasure of the premium traditionally associated with owning shares in US companies. This phenomenon is particularly evident in the convergence of yields between cash, bonds, and equities. Currently, three-month Treasury bills offer a yield of 5.3% following a brief pause in interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which has maintained the interest rate in the range of 5-5.25%. Although the central bank has hinted at a potential double increase in rates…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: Unprecedented Concentration in Equity Markets Raises Concerns – Will History Repeat Itself?<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: June 14, 2023 The year of 2023 has been an anomaly for many reasons, perhaps the main one being the extreme concentration within equity markets, especially within recent months. Defined here as the concentration of top 10 leaders to the three-month performance of the US500, is above the 99th percentile over the past 30 years. Shown below in figure one, you can see in light blue the weighting of the top ten leaders within the US500, and in dark blue the contribution of those top ten leaders. Figure 1-Refinitiv Data \/ Barclays Research…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: Erdogan Elected Causes Financial Volatility, Will Anything Change This Time?<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: June 1, 2023 After Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan’s re-election, Turkey\u2019s financial markets once again experienced turbulence, as the Turkish Lira reached an all-time low against the US dollar, and the country’s sovereign bonds depreciated in value. Erdogan, who has been in office since August 2014, secured another five-year term, defeating opposition leader Kemal Kilicdaroglu, a Turkish economist, retired civil servant, and social democratic politician who was widely regarded as someone capable of addressing the problems that have arisen during Erdogan’s tenure. Since 2016, Turkey has faced strained relations with most European nations, a…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: 2023\u2019s Debt Ceiling Issue Seems Eerily Similar to 2011\u2019s<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: May 25, 2023 The 2011 debt ceiling issue was a significant event that unfolded in the United States, casting a shadow of uncertainty over the country’s financial stability. The dispute, primarily between the Obama administration and the Republican-controlled Congress, revolved around raising the federal debt ceiling to avoid defaulting on the nation’s financial obligations. The debt ceiling is a statutory limit set by the US Congress on the amount of national debt the government can accumulate, which has been a major story in recent weeks as the US default probability rises, and the…<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>

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\r\n Chart of the Week: The Gold Vs Copper Conundrum<\/a>\r\n <\/div>\r\n
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Author: Tim Sharp Researcher: Jack Williams Published: May 18, 2023   In this week\u2019s Chart of the Week, we examine the recent performance disparity between copper and gold, two key commodities, within the context of the current global economic environment. While the overall Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) has experienced losses of approximately 30% over the past year, certain commodities within the index have demonstrated strong returns, fuelled by the prevailing high inflation and uncertainty. This study aims to elucidate the drivers behind the contrasting performance of copper and gold by delving into the factors that influence their respective prices….<\/p>\n <\/div>\r\n <\/div>\r\n<\/div>","max_pages":5}